Probable Worlds

Customers

Probable Worlds powers decisions for the most careful operators

See how decision desks use calibrated forecasts to hedge, underwrite, reroute, and plan.

Browse by use case

In production, on the record

AllHedgingUnderwritingMacroSupply chainPolicy

Hedging

“We stopped arguing about opinions and started arguing about distributions. That alone paid for it.”

Head of Strategy · Northbridge

Underwriting

“Cat-season pricing used to be a committee mood. Now it is a curve with a confidence band.”

Chief Underwriting Officer · Vantage Re

Macro

“The regime-shift watchtower fired eleven days before the print. We were positioned; our peers were reading headlines.”

Portfolio Manager · Cassandra Fund

Supply chain

“The engine called the strait closure at 0.7 six weeks out. Rerouting early saved us a quarter's margin.”

VP Operations · Helios Group

Policy

“Briefings moved from 40 pages of prose to one table of probabilities. Ministers actually read it now.”

Director of Analysis · Atlas Institute

Energy

“Weather-linked load forecasts with real calibration scores changed how we bid the day-ahead market.”

Head of Trading · Meridian Labs

Insurance

“We wired Watchtowers into our reinsurance triggers. Automatic, auditable, and defensible to the regulator.”

Chief Risk Officer · Vantage Re

Venture

“Diligence memos now cite ledger-scored base rates instead of vibes. Partners argue with the number, not each other.”

General Partner · Foresight Capital

Media

“Election-night models are easy. Being 0.91-calibrated across four years of them is the hard part we outsourced.”

Data Editor · Delphic Analytics

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