Scenario Engine
The forecasting engine behind every Probable Worlds surface: live world-states, calibrated probabilities, one API.
Every probability is scored against real outcomes on a public ledger. 0.91 and holding.
Object-storage-backed world states scale to billions of scenario evaluations a day.
99.95% uptime SLA. Decision desks run their morning briefings on us.
Encrypted at rest and in transit, with SSO, RBAC, private endpoints, and BYOC.
Performance
Built for hedging desks, underwriters, and planning teams.
Single-probability answers to binary questions — the fastest path from question to number.
Complete probability distributions over continuous outcomes, with every quantile you ask for.
Query latency for the 12k-question live set, single region, measured over the trailing 30 days.
Architecture
Backed by distributed object storage for scalable, highly available forecasting.
New evidence re-weights every affected world-state within seconds — no batch windows, no stale probabilities.
Hot questions stay in memory; long-horizon scenarios rest in object storage at a fraction of the cost.
Optimized inference paths deliver scored probabilities at scale with minimal latency.
Query types
Binary, distributional, timeline, and conditional questions — all managed in one place, queryable through one API.
Will it happen by the date? One probability, scored on resolution, tracked on the ledger.
Prices, counts, and dates as full distributions — ask for the median or the tail, not a hot take.
Branching path forecasts over sequences of events, each branch carrying its own weight.
What-if queries against counterfactual world-states: intervene on a variable, re-weigh the futures.
Reliability
The most careful operators are already in production with Probable Worlds.
Consistent availability for critical decisions, contractually guaranteed.
Programmatically snapshot question sets and resolutions to protect against failure.
No forecast disappears from the ledger — an additional verification layer prevents accidental loss.
Deployments span availability zones automatically for hands-off resilience.
Security
Enterprise-grade security and operational controls.
Encryption at rest and in transit, private networking, and hierarchical encryption keys.
SOC 2, GDPR, and ISO 27001 certified, with independent calibration audits on top.
Deploy a private Probable Worlds region in your own cloud environment.
Learn more →Roles and permissions for users, service accounts, and API keys.
Audit logs, SAML SSO, admin APIs, and project management with full visibility.
By security-conscious enterprises whose risk desks read the fine print.
Learn more →Deploy in seconds
Run your first forecast for free, then pay as you go when the decisions get bigger.